We're watching cumulus clouds bubble up in the deeper moisture this afternoon. This is leading to a few scattered showers and thunderstorms across parts of the area. So far, they have mostly been in northeast Mississippi back into northwest Alabama, but more will form and will be possible areawide today, even though they will be isolated to widely scattered in nature.
These isolated storms will die down by evening as we lose the instability from daytime heating, but they will be back again on Tuesday afternoon. In fact, coverage will be substantially more widespread Tuesday afternoon in comparison to today. This will be partly in association with what will be the remnants of Tropical Storm Danny that will track near the area Tuesday.
Rain chances will only get more and more widespread as we head through the week thanks to a frontal boundary that will gradually sag southward into the area. No one particular day will be a washout or anything, but showers and thunderstorms will be widespread and likely each day. This continues right on through Friday before the front moves southward and puts us into somewhat cooler and drier air (and lower but non-zero rain chances) in time for the 4th of July weekend.
If you're headed down to the beach, it looks just as wet along the Gulf Coast too. Showers and thunderstorms will be a good bet each afternoon, typical of this time of year, but maybe a bit more widespread than normal. Unfortunately, the frontal boundary that clears our area by the weekend stalls out down there and sets the stage for widespread showers and storms for the holiday weekend.
Meanwhile in the tropics, in the middle of typing this blog discussion, Tropical Depression 4 was upgraded to Tropical Storm Danny. Danny is located off the South Carolina coastline with 40 mph sustained winds and is moving northwest. Danny will make landfall this afternoon and then weaken into a remnant circulation over Georgia overnight. Elsewhere, we are continuing to monitor the tropical wave out in the open Atlantic that will approach the Caribbean over the next several days. The National Hurricane Center currently gives this a 40% chance of developing into a tropical depression this week, but at least as of now, operational models aren't too excited about it. We are watching carefully...