Partly cloudy skies are still in place this afternoon, but those clouds are thickening up as we warm into the mid 80s. Radar is quiet so far, but that will be changing as we head into the mid to late afternoon.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms look to develop over parts of the area this afternoon and continue into the evening hours in spots. It won't rain everywhere, but there is at least a slight chance that some of the high school football games may have a passing shower or short-lived thunderstorm. While that might cause a delay or two here and there, we don't see anything that would cause games to just be flat rained out. A stray shower may hold on into the overnight, but most of today's activity will die out by late evening with the loss of daytime heating. We remain mostly cloudy through the overnight, with lows around daybreak in the upper 60s to near 70 degrees.
Showers and thunderstorms become more widespread for Saturday afternoon and night, Sunday afternoon and night, and into Labor Day on Monday as a low pressure approaches from Louisiana and a frontal boundary stalls out just to our northwest. It won't rain that entire time, but periods of widespread showers and thunderstorms will be likely, and some of the rainfall may be locally heavy at times. Daytime highs, because of the clouds and rain, will ease back into the low to mid 80s this weekend, and mid 80s will continue into much of next week.
Both UNA and Tennessee had their first games of the season last night, but Alabama, Auburn, and Mississippi State all play their opening games Saturday evening, and the weather for each game looks kind of wet and stormy at times. It doesn't look like a complete washout, and it's not a guarantee that storms will directly affect each location, but showers and storms will be likely at least nearby to each stadium Saturday evening.
The on and off wet pattern across the South looks to continue into the first half of September, with the latest 6-10 day outlook from the NWS Climate Prediction Center showing above average chances for wet weather in our area. This also looks to keep temperatures mostly near or below average for the period as well.
Danielle has become the first hurricane of the 2022 Atlantic Season out in the open North Atlantic. Maximum sustained winds were at 75 mph as of the latest advisory from the late morning. Danielle is forecast to become a Category 2 hurricane over the weekend, but the storm will be moving northeast into early next week and staying away from the United States.
We continue to watch the tropical disturbance in the central Atlantic. It is still struggling to organize, but so far, the National Hurricane Center still maintains a 70% chance of it developing into a tropical depression or possibly Tropical Storm Earl. Models are still in strong agreement that the system will hook northward in the open Atlantic early next week as troughing develops near the East Coast. This will steer the system away from the United States.