Clouds have returned in earnest across the Tennessee Valley today as the next storm system approaches, and there have even been a couple of showers here and there. Temperatures are generally in the mid to upper 60s this afternoon, with a couple of locations getting near 70 degrees. Overall, at least through the early to mid evening, the weather looks to be mostly quiet across our local area.
More steady and heavier rain moves into the area during the late evening and the overnight. A few rumbles of thunder are possible as well. However, the strongest storms overnight and into Saturday morning will stay well off to the south, over southern Alabama and Mississippi.
That activity moves to the east by late morning, and in the midday, a few sun breaks are possible. There is the possibility that a few scattered storms may redevelop over the area during the afternoon and early evening (roughly between Noon and 6pm). IF these are able to redevelop over our area, one or two of them may be severe with gusty winds or hail. The threat is somewhat low and very uncertain, but the threat is there. Because of this, all of north Alabama and northeast Mississippi has been placed in a Level 2 of 5 risk of severe weather for Saturday, and southern Tennessee has been placed in a Level 1 of 5 risk. While the tornado threat is not zero, it is very close to zero. Still, remain alert in case a few warnings are issued. Those showers and storms move out during the evening, and by Sunday, we are back to sunshine returning.
Temperatures will be steadily warming over the next several days as our weather pattern changes. We will be back into the lower 70s for the weekend, into the upper 70s by Monday, and into the lower 80s by Tuesday and Wednesday! This is definitely a big change in comparison to what we have been dealing with lately...
The next storm system looks to bring a cold front and a chance of thunderstorms to the area some time between Wednesday night and Thursday of next week. It remains to be seen whether or not there will be a risk of severe weather with this system, but it is late April in the Tennessee Valley, and we will be watching closely.