Most of the steady rain is shifting eastward out of the Tennessee Valley early on this Sunday morning, but we have some lingering areas of showers as far west as western Tennessee and northern Mississippi. Clouds are otherwise hanging tough early this morning. Temperatures across our part of the valley are hanging out in the 40s, mainly the low to middle 40s.
Showers start to take a break as we head into the mid to late morning hours, but we can't completely rule out a sprinkle or stray shower into the afternoon. Daytime highs won't really climb a whole lot, only into the upper 40s and lower 50s. As we head into the evening and overnight hours, a few more showers may rotate back into the area, but we don't expect widespread rain. Otherwise, expect mostly cloudy skies with morning lows down into the 30s by daybreak on Monday.
Temperatures for the week ahead remain more or less near seasonal averages, give or take a few degrees. Daytime highs will range from the mid 40s to the mid 50s, and overnight lows will range from the upper 20s to near 40 degrees. Our next big chance of rain arrives Tuesday night as a dynamic low pressure system and associated cold front approach. Showers and thunderstorms look very likely, and some of the rainfall may be heavy at times. Fortunately, the track of the low pressure and upper-level storm system keep the warm sector well to our south, and any risk of severe storms will be well to our south because of that. However, gusty pressure gradient winds will be very possible with the deep surface low nearby. Don't be shocked at some wind gusts near or in excess of 40 mph Tuesday night into Wednesday morning as the low pressure passes by.
Lingering spotty showers may wrap around the system Wednesday into Wednesday night. A few models are even hinting at the slight chance of a flurry or two mixing in with the sprinkles Wednesday night, but with temperatures above freezing and that being such a slight chance, we are going to leave it out of the forecast for now. Clouds will be slow to clear as we head through the latter part of the week, but rain chances do take a back seat until we get toward the latter half of next weekend, just beyond the 7 day forecast period.