After widespread rain and rumbles of thunder this morning, and then a wake low/gravity wave with gusty winds to end that activity, we are back to calm weather this afternoon across the Tennessee Valley. Clouds are hanging tough, with a few showers still scattered over middle Tennessee. This is keeping temperatures as of this early afternoon ranging from the mid/upper 50s to the low/mid 60s from north to south across the area.
Futurecast is suggesting a few break of sun this afternoon, and if that happens, we MIGHT see temperatures warm toward the mid/upper 60s over southern Tennessee and into the lower 70s over northern Alabama. However, compared to what is happening in reality right now, it is currently overdoing both the sun and the temperatures because of it. We stay quiet through tonight, but a few showers and thunderstorms may skirt to our northwest toward daybreak as a cold front moves toward the area. The timing of that cold front has trended faster now. It looks to move into our area during the mid to late morning. There is still officially a risk of severe storms for our area from the Storm Prediction Center, but those risk levels have been downgraded on the latest outlook, and it's looking more like the atmosphere won't get a chance to get unstable in our area before the cold front moves in and shifts the storm risk off to our east. We will be watching carefully for any changes.
We start the day on Thursday behind the front in the upper 30s and lower 40s, and then struggle to reach the lower 60s with cooler and drier air moving in. Even cooler temperatures continue for the first half of the weekend as a big trough of low pressure sets up over the eastern United States. Daytime highs Friday and Saturday will be in the mid 50s with morning lows well into the 30s. We do start to moderate by Sunday, and we're back in the 70s by early next week. That is before a big storm system ejects itself into the middle of the nation, and we will have to watch that system for roughly around Wednesday of next week for our next storm chances.