Despite sunshine returning this afternoon, it feels more like a late December or January day than it does early November. Temperatures are in the low to mid 50s for most folks, although some of us are still lingering in the upper 40s! I don't expect temperatures to climb more than a couple more degrees as we head through the remainder of the afternoon.
The breaks in the cloud cover from the afternoon will linger into the evening, allowing us to drop into the 40s not too long after sunset. However, clouds increase as we head deeper into the overnight as the next weather system approaches. This will help to level out temperatures into the early to mid 40s during the predawn of Wednesday. Showers move through the area during the morning and midday hours before heading out by afternoon. The cloud cover and rainy conditions will keep highs on Wednesday only in the mid to upper 40s!
High pressure starts anchoring to the north on Thursday, and clouds begin clearing out gradually. Temperatures ease up into the lower 50s because of the added sunshine, but still running 16 to 20 degrees below normal. We begin the gradual but steady rebound by Friday and the weekend though as sunshine returns in earnest. However, the mornings will still be chilly, and we may actually see the first widespread frost or even light freeze of the season Friday morning, with temperatures in the lower 30s.
Lower 60s return for the weekend as high pressure shifts off to the east at the surface and we begin to get a southerly wind. Mid and even upper 60s return for the start of the week as ridging aloft gets established over the eastern United States, ushering in a warmer weather pattern. That will eventually lead to lower 70s toward the middle of next week, but we may also have to watch for a storm system to come out of the Plains toward the latter part of next week as well. Way too early for any details about that, but we are in the heart of the fall severe weather season now, and we will have to watch carefully.