A rainy and stormy pattern setting up this week. A few storms may be strong / severe along the way.
After beautiful weather over the weekend, we knew it wouldn't last forever. Showers and thunderstorms have returned to the area today, and they will stick around through much of the week at times. Temperatures are warming through the 80s this afternoon, and daytime highs will top out between 85 and 91 degrees under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and storms becoming likely.
Initial scattered thunderstorms this afternoon will start to fade going into the evening as they shift eastward with time. However, Futurecast shows additional thunderstorms developing to our west over west Tennessee that will move in here during the overnight and into early Tuesday morning. We can't 100% rule out a storm or two with gusty winds during this period, but the greater impacts will be heavy rain and lightning with loud thunder that may wake you up overnight. Those shift east as we head through Tuesday morning, with additional showers and thunderstorms developing Tuesday afternoon and Tuesday evening as we once again warm up to the 85-90 degree range during the afternoon.
Showers and thunderstorms will come in waves for much of the week. And at any point, there may be a few storms with strong gusty winds. The Storm Prediction Center has our area in lower-end severe weather risks, primarily for damaging straight-line winds, for today, Tuesday, Wednesday, and Friday. Rain chances are lower on Thursday as the front temporarily shifts south of our area, but isolated thunderstorms will still be possible. Especially Wednesday afternoon-evening and Friday afternoon-evening-overnight, there may be a couple of organized thunderstorm complexes. If this is the case, there may be more organized severe weather/damaging wind threats during these periods. The front shifts south heading into Saturday, bringing an end to the rain chances by late in the day, and drying us out for Sunday into the start of next week.
If you're headed to the beaches along the northern Gulf Coast this week, scattered showers and thunderstorms start returning to the forecast from Thursday through the weekend. Otherwise, partly cloudy each day with afternoon highs in the mid to upper 80s and morning lows from the mid 70s to the lower 80s. Typical June weather along the Gulf Coast!
In the tropics, Tropical Storm Alex is on the way out across the open North Atlantic and will be transitioning from a tropical system to extratropical (regular low with temperature contrasts and frontal boundaries) over the next 24 hours. Elsewhere, no tropical development is expected over the Atlantic basin for at least the next five to seven days.