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Tuesday, January 24, 2012

Some Rain Coming Back

FORECAST:


Wednesday: Partly cloudy with a 40% chance of showers. High 64, Low 41


Thursday: Heavy rain. High 66, Low 53


Friday: Mostly sunny. Cooler. High 55, Low 44


EXTENDED OUTLOOK:


Saturday: Sunny. High 54, Low 33


Sunday: Sunny. High 47, Low 28


Monday: Mostly sunny. High 51, Low 30


Tuesday: Mostly sunny. High 55, Low 34

NOTES:

Here is a look at the heavy rains we had Monday morning and the specific amounts.

And here is the latest on the Central Alabama Tornado Outbreak as well as the tornadoes in Arkansas.

DISCUSSION:




Beautiful day here in the TN Valley - plenty of sunshine. Nice temperatures. In Huntsville we made it up to 61. Low this morning was 37. Calm winds. Couldn't ask for a nicer day. If this wasn't nice, I don't know what is.

Of course, we're in a pretty active pattern, things always in flux, and so this rain you see out in Texas associated with an upper low and a warm front will be heading in our direction the next couple days.


For the moment we are under high pressure and are in the 50's across most the Valley. Notice how warm most the country is right now. Oh well, I seem to recall quite a bit of cold and snow last winter, so I guess it all balances out. South Texas may have a few severe thunderstorms tonight from this warm front. Looks like snow for the extreme northwest part of the country and around British Columbia - I just mention them because one of my favorite magicians lives there.

Tomorrow, definitely some rain chances. Doesn't look like a big washout, probably just scattered rain showers. Doubt we'll have much thunder with this, air should be pretty stable.


As the upper low works its way closer and the warm front pushes into our area on Thursday, we should see widespread rain, I mean all of us in North Alabama/Southern Tennessee should get a decent soaking.

At this point the HPC is going with between 1-2 inches of rain, but keep in mind, we still have some rivers flooded around here, and we haven't really had much time to recover from yesterday morning's heavy rains. So I'd say some flash flooding and/or river flooding is a potential that will have to be monitored here.

By Friday a cold front pushes this stuff on through here, and we clear out and turn colder. Highs should drop down into the 50's.


And a very, very nice weekend. Temperatures should be seasonable, with Highs mostly in the low-to-mid 50's and Lows in the lower 30's. Plenty of sunshine. Great weekend to get out and do something.

Monday also looks nice, and we might start to warm a little and bring back some clouds on Tuesday. Overall the extended period looks great. Just have to get through this potential heavy rain event tomorrow night and Thursday. Main thing - just be very careful if you have to be out driving in it. It is always a mistake to cross water that covers the road, because there's no way to know how deep it is or if the road (or worse yet, a bridge) has been washed out under that water. It doesn't take as much water as you'd think . . . and believe me, cars can't swim.

Hmmmmmm . . . before writing the forecast, caught the ABC News segment talking again about yesterday morning's tornadoes. Rather crafty how they avoided making an apology for their false statement on a previous broadcast that the storms struck "without warning." Oh well, it's all about exploitation, typical media scum. Ho hum.

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